Hdfc Bank Limited Stock Performance

HDB Stock  USD 32.52  0.34  1.03%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.24, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, HDFC Bank's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HDFC Bank is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, HDFC Bank Limited has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to check out HDFC Bank's treynor ratio, kurtosis, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if HDFC Bank Limited performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days HDFC Bank Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.03)
Five Day Return
(4.32)
Year To Date Return
(10.86)
Ten Year Return
138.07
All Time Return
4.3 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0114
Payout Ratio
0.6795
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.38
Dividend Date
2025-08-20
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Begin Period Cash Flow2.1 T
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.7 T

HDFC Bank Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,684  in HDFC Bank Limited on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (432.00) from holding HDFC Bank Limited or give up 11.73% of portfolio value over 90 days. HDFC Bank Limited is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.4375% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than HDFC, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon HDFC Bank is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.87 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

HDFC Bank Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of HDFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 32.52 90 days 32.52 
about 91.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HDFC Bank to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.33 (This HDFC Bank Limited probability density function shows the probability of HDFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon HDFC Bank has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, HDFC Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HDFC Bank Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HDFC Bank Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HDFC Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HDFC Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HDFC Bank Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HDFC Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.0832.5233.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.2738.2539.69
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.0842.9547.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.400.390.40
Details

HDFC Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HDFC Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HDFC Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HDFC Bank Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HDFC Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

HDFC Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HDFC Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HDFC Bank Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HDFC Bank Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HDFC Bank Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
HDFC Bank Limited has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: RBI approves ICICI Group stake hike in eight banks

HDFC Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HDFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HDFC Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HDFC Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments9.2 T

HDFC Bank Fundamentals Growth

HDFC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of HDFC Bank, and HDFC Bank fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on HDFC Stock performance.

About HDFC Bank Performance

By analyzing HDFC Bank's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into HDFC Bank's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if HDFC Bank has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if HDFC Bank has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(834.57)(876.30)
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.11 

Things to note about HDFC Bank Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about HDFC Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for HDFC Bank Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HDFC Bank Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HDFC Bank Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
HDFC Bank Limited has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: RBI approves ICICI Group stake hike in eight banks
Evaluating HDFC Bank's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate HDFC Bank's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing HDFC Bank's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether HDFC Bank's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining HDFC Bank's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating HDFC Bank's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of HDFC Bank's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of HDFC Bank's stock. These opinions can provide insight into HDFC Bank's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating HDFC Bank's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact HDFC Bank's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running HDFC Bank's price analysis, check to measure HDFC Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HDFC Bank is operating at the current time. Most of HDFC Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HDFC Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HDFC Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HDFC Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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